IF4838 Timing and Forecasting in Financial MarketsBahçeşehir UniversityDegree Programs NEW MEDIAGeneral Information For StudentsDiploma SupplementErasmus Policy StatementNational QualificationsBologna Commission
NEW MEDIA
Bachelor TR-NQF-HE: Level 6 QF-EHEA: First Cycle EQF-LLL: Level 6

Course Introduction and Application Information

Course Code Course Name Semester Theoretical Practical Credit ECTS
IF4838 Timing and Forecasting in Financial Markets Spring 3 0 3 9
This catalog is for information purposes. Course status is determined by the relevant department at the beginning of semester.

Basic information

Language of instruction: English
Type of course: Non-Departmental Elective
Course Level: Bachelor’s Degree (First Cycle)
Mode of Delivery: Face to face
Course Coordinator : Dr. Öğr. Üyesi BAHAR KÖSEOĞLU
Course Lecturer(s): Dr. Öğr. Üyesi HAKKI ÖZTÜRK
Recommended Optional Program Components: None
Course Objectives: Timing and forecasting in financial markets course was designed to familiarize the students with the basics of technical analysis and teach how to correctly use technical tools. Technical analysis is the forecasting of future financial price movements based on an examination of past price movements. Like weather forecasting, it does not result in absolute predictions about the future. Instead, the tools used for forecasting can help investors anticipate what is "likely" to happen to prices over time. The course will help the students to forecast for short-term stock market trends and also will show the techniques for long term predictions. A program called Metastock will be used in class. The updated data for all the markets (stock, fx, commodity, money markets) will be provided by matriks. This course provides an insight to the trading rules and the indicators of technical analysis. At the end of the course, the students are expected to figure out how to forecast the market and price movements in financial markets using major patterns, indicators and oscillators.

Learning Outcomes

The students who have succeeded in this course;
I.to be able to learn how to use Metastock program
II. to be able to learn how to read price charts
III. to be able to know major indicators and oscillators and use them in trading
IV.to be able to learn trading rules and timing in security markets
V.to be able to figure out how to forecast the market and price movements in financial markets
VI.to be able to construct a buy-sell systems in Metastock program

Course Content

Metastock program, price charts, major indicators and oscillators , timing in security markets, construct a buy-sell systems

Weekly Detailed Course Contents

Week Subject Related Preparation
1) Introduction to Technical Market Analysis Introduction to Metastock Program
2) How to Use Metastock Program
3) Chart Reading, Interpretation of Price Charts
4) Major Patterns in Financial Markets
5) Moving Averages
6) Random Walk Index, MACD
7) Momentum, P(ROC)
8) Cycles, Timing Systems, Elliot Wave, Bollinger Bands
9) Polarized Fractal Efficiency, Parabolic SAR
10) Money Flow Index-Commodity Channel Index
11) Stochastic, RSI, Trix, Directional Moving Indicator
12) Timing and Forecasting Methods Using Some Indicators and Oscillators
13) Timing and Forecasting Methods Using Some Indicators and Oscillators
14) Constructing a Buy-Sell System in Metastock

Sources

Course Notes / Textbooks: Technical Analysis Explained by Martin J. Pring.

References: Essentials of Technical Analysis for Financial Markets, James Chen, John Wiley & Sons

Evaluation System

Semester Requirements Number of Activities Level of Contribution
Homework Assignments 1 % 10
Midterms 1 % 40
Final 1 % 50
Total % 100
PERCENTAGE OF SEMESTER WORK % 50
PERCENTAGE OF FINAL WORK % 50
Total % 100

ECTS / Workload Table

Activities Number of Activities Duration (Hours) Workload
Course Hours 14 3 42
Application 14 2 28
Study Hours Out of Class 14 3 42
Homework Assignments 1 25 25
Midterms 1 35 35
Final 1 45 45
Total Workload 217

Contribution of Learning Outcomes to Programme Outcomes

No Effect 1 Lowest 2 Low 3 Average 4 High 5 Highest
           
Program Outcomes Level of Contribution
1) To be able to critically interpret and discuss the theories, the concepts, the traditions, and the developments in the history of thought which are fundamental for the field of new media, journalism and communication.
2) To be able to attain written, oral and visual knowledge about technical equipment and software used in the process of news and the content production in new media, and to be able to acquire effective abilities to use them on a professional level.
3) To be able to get information about the institutional agents and generally about the sector operating in the field of new media, journalism and communication, and to be able to critically evaluate them.
4) To be able to comprehend the reactions of the readers, the listeners, the audiences and the users to the changing roles of media environments, and to be able to provide and circulate an original contents for them and to predict future trends.
5) To be able to apprehend the basic theories, the concepts and the thoughts related to neighbouring fields of new media and journalism in a critical manner.
6) To be able to grasp global and technological changes in the field of communication, and the relations due to with their effects on the local agents.
7) To be able to develop skills on gathering necessary data by using scientific methods, analyzing and circulating them in order to produce content.
8) To be able to develop acquired knowledge, skills and competence upon social aims by being legally and ethically responsible for a lifetime, and to be able to use them in order to provide social benefit.
9) To be able to operate collaborative projects with national/international colleagues in the field of new media, journalism and communication.
10) To be able to improve skills on creating works in various formats and which are qualified to be published on the prestigious national and international channels.