ISM5206 Decision AnalysisBahçeşehir UniversityDegree Programs LOGISTICS (TURKISH)General Information For StudentsDiploma SupplementErasmus Policy StatementNational QualificationsBologna Commission
LOGISTICS (TURKISH)
Associate TR-NQF-HE: Level 5 QF-EHEA: Short Cycle EQF-LLL: Level 5

Course Introduction and Application Information

Course Code Course Name Semester Theoretical Practical Credit ECTS
ISM5206 Decision Analysis Fall
3 0 3 12
This catalog is for information purposes. Course status is determined by the relevant department at the beginning of semester.

Basic information

Language of instruction: Turkish
Type of course: Non-Departmental Elective
Course Level: Associate (Short Cycle)
Mode of Delivery: Face to face
Course Coordinator : Instructor ÖZLEM KANGA
Course Lecturer(s): Assoc. Prof. SEROL BULKAN
Recommended Optional Program Components: N.A.
Course Objectives: The aim of the course is to introduce the graphical models used in decision analysis and to provide a set of systematic tools to help the decision maker in giving a decision.

Learning Outcomes

The students who have succeeded in this course;
- Recognize the graphical models used in decision analysis.
- Model a given uncertain situation with Bayes networks.
- Compute exact and approximate inferences in Bayes networks.
- Model a given uncertain decision problem with influence diagrams.
- Make inferences in decision networks.
- Compute value of information.

Course Content

Expected Utility, Causal and Bayesian networks, Exact inference in Bayesian networks, Approximate inference in Bayesian networks, Learning Bayesian networks, Influence and decision networks, Value of information

Weekly Detailed Course Contents

Week Subject Related Preparation
1) Probability review
2) Expected Utility
3) Causal and Bayesian networks
4) Building Bayesian models
5) Exact inference in Bayesian networks
6) Exact inference in Bayesian networks
7) Approximate inference in Bayesian networks
8) Approximate inference in Bayesian networks
9) Midterm exam
10) Learning Bayesian networks
11) Influence and decision networks
12) Influence and decision networks
13) Value of information
14) Project presentations

Sources

Course Notes / Textbooks: F.V. Jensen, 2001. Bayesian networks and decision graphs, New York : Springer
References: Robert T. Clemen, 1996. Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, 2nd edition, Duxbury Press

Evaluation System

Semester Requirements Number of Activities Level of Contribution
Homework Assignments 4 % 10
Project 1 % 20
Midterms 1 % 30
Final 1 % 40
Total % 100
PERCENTAGE OF SEMESTER WORK % 40
PERCENTAGE OF FINAL WORK % 60
Total % 100

ECTS / Workload Table

Activities Number of Activities Duration (Hours) Workload
Course Hours 14 3 42
Study Hours Out of Class 14 2 28
Presentations / Seminar 1 10 10
Project 1 40 40
Homework Assignments 4 10 40
Midterms 1 15 15
Final 1 20 20
Total Workload 195

Contribution of Learning Outcomes to Programme Outcomes

No Effect 1 Lowest 2 Low 3 Average 4 High 5 Highest
           
Program Outcomes Level of Contribution
1) To have knowledge about logistics operations and the basic legislation
2) To have knowledge about the politics, corporations and the developments in logistics.
3) To have knowledge about the economical life and the basic features of the enterprises that take place in logistics sector.
4) To have knowledge about the documents that are used in logistics and how to prepare them.
5) To have knowledge about the new marketing and sales techniques and the principles of opening to new markets.
6) To have knowledge and consciousness about the job security, worker health and environment protection in logistics sector.
7) To have knowledge and consciousness about the basic legal attainments, social responsibility, ethics and social security rights in logistics.
8) To be involved in communication network in logistics sector and follow the developments. 2
9) To have the ability to comment and evaluate the classical and current theories by taking into account the developments in logistics and supply chain areas.
10) To have the basic knowledge about foreign trade and customs legislation.
11) To have knowledge about relationship between foreign trade and logistics management.
12) To have basic knowledge in at least one foreign language.
13) He/she can use information and communication tecnologies that necessary for their area, follows technological change and applies new technologies to business system.