ISM5206 Decision AnalysisBahçeşehir UniversityDegree Programs INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND BUSINESSGeneral Information For StudentsDiploma SupplementErasmus Policy StatementNational QualificationsBologna Commission
INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND BUSINESS
Bachelor TR-NQF-HE: Level 6 QF-EHEA: First Cycle EQF-LLL: Level 6

Course Introduction and Application Information

Course Code Course Name Semester Theoretical Practical Credit ECTS
ISM5206 Decision Analysis Fall 3 0 3 12
This catalog is for information purposes. Course status is determined by the relevant department at the beginning of semester.

Basic information

Language of instruction: Turkish
Type of course: Non-Departmental Elective
Course Level: Bachelor’s Degree (First Cycle)
Mode of Delivery: Face to face
Course Coordinator : Instructor ÖZLEM KANGA
Course Lecturer(s): Assoc. Prof. SEROL BULKAN
Recommended Optional Program Components: N.A.
Course Objectives: The aim of the course is to introduce the graphical models used in decision analysis and to provide a set of systematic tools to help the decision maker in giving a decision.

Learning Outcomes

The students who have succeeded in this course;
- Recognize the graphical models used in decision analysis.
- Model a given uncertain situation with Bayes networks.
- Compute exact and approximate inferences in Bayes networks.
- Model a given uncertain decision problem with influence diagrams.
- Make inferences in decision networks.
- Compute value of information.

Course Content

Expected Utility, Causal and Bayesian networks, Exact inference in Bayesian networks, Approximate inference in Bayesian networks, Learning Bayesian networks, Influence and decision networks, Value of information

Weekly Detailed Course Contents

Week Subject Related Preparation
1) Probability review
2) Expected Utility
3) Causal and Bayesian networks
4) Building Bayesian models
5) Exact inference in Bayesian networks
6) Exact inference in Bayesian networks
7) Approximate inference in Bayesian networks
8) Approximate inference in Bayesian networks
9) Midterm exam
10) Learning Bayesian networks
11) Influence and decision networks
12) Influence and decision networks
13) Value of information
14) Project presentations

Sources

Course Notes / Textbooks: F.V. Jensen, 2001. Bayesian networks and decision graphs, New York : Springer
References: Robert T. Clemen, 1996. Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, 2nd edition, Duxbury Press

Evaluation System

Semester Requirements Number of Activities Level of Contribution
Homework Assignments 4 % 10
Project 1 % 20
Midterms 1 % 30
Final 1 % 40
Total % 100
PERCENTAGE OF SEMESTER WORK % 40
PERCENTAGE OF FINAL WORK % 60
Total % 100

ECTS / Workload Table

Activities Number of Activities Duration (Hours) Workload
Course Hours 14 3 42
Study Hours Out of Class 14 2 28
Presentations / Seminar 1 10 10
Project 1 40 40
Homework Assignments 4 10 40
Midterms 1 15 15
Final 1 20 20
Total Workload 195

Contribution of Learning Outcomes to Programme Outcomes

No Effect 1 Lowest 2 Low 3 Average 4 High 5 Highest
           
Program Outcomes Level of Contribution
1) Has theoretical and practical knowledge on management, business, trade, economy, entrepreneurship, innovation, sustainable development related to International Trade and Business and can use this information
2) Can collect data from different sources in the global business world and successfully apply research techniques, use information and communication technologies.
3) Can analyze opportunities and threats with strategic thinking skills by using different resources and channels in the ever-changing global business world.
4) Can communicate orally and in writing with a good knowledge of English grammar.
5) He / she can transfer the knowledge and skills he / she has acquired in the field to the relevant people in written and oral form and evaluate them critically.
6) Adopts the principles of business ethics with the awareness of professional responsibility and can apply these principles within the framework of legal rules in the field of global trade and business.
7) He / she can collaborate in and out of the field, take responsibility, respect cultural differences and have ethical values.
8) Has sufficient awareness of social rights, justice, cultural values, environmental awareness, occupational health and safety.
9) With the lifelong learning skill acquired, she/he can identify learning needs and improve herself/himself