ISM5206 Decision AnalysisBahçeşehir UniversityDegree Programs ECONOMICSGeneral Information For StudentsDiploma SupplementErasmus Policy StatementNational QualificationsBologna Commission
ECONOMICS
Bachelor TR-NQF-HE: Level 6 QF-EHEA: First Cycle EQF-LLL: Level 6

Course Introduction and Application Information

Course Code Course Name Semester Theoretical Practical Credit ECTS
ISM5206 Decision Analysis Spring 3 0 3 12
This catalog is for information purposes. Course status is determined by the relevant department at the beginning of semester.

Basic information

Language of instruction: Turkish
Type of course: Non-Departmental Elective
Course Level: Bachelor’s Degree (First Cycle)
Mode of Delivery: Face to face
Course Coordinator : Instructor ÖZLEM KANGA
Course Lecturer(s): Assoc. Prof. SEROL BULKAN
Recommended Optional Program Components: N.A.
Course Objectives: The aim of the course is to introduce the graphical models used in decision analysis and to provide a set of systematic tools to help the decision maker in giving a decision.

Learning Outcomes

The students who have succeeded in this course;
- Recognize the graphical models used in decision analysis.
- Model a given uncertain situation with Bayes networks.
- Compute exact and approximate inferences in Bayes networks.
- Model a given uncertain decision problem with influence diagrams.
- Make inferences in decision networks.
- Compute value of information.

Course Content

Expected Utility, Causal and Bayesian networks, Exact inference in Bayesian networks, Approximate inference in Bayesian networks, Learning Bayesian networks, Influence and decision networks, Value of information

Weekly Detailed Course Contents

Week Subject Related Preparation
1) Probability review
2) Expected Utility
3) Causal and Bayesian networks
4) Building Bayesian models
5) Exact inference in Bayesian networks
6) Exact inference in Bayesian networks
7) Approximate inference in Bayesian networks
8) Approximate inference in Bayesian networks
9) Midterm exam
10) Learning Bayesian networks
11) Influence and decision networks
12) Influence and decision networks
13) Value of information
14) Project presentations

Sources

Course Notes / Textbooks: F.V. Jensen, 2001. Bayesian networks and decision graphs, New York : Springer
References: Robert T. Clemen, 1996. Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, 2nd edition, Duxbury Press

Evaluation System

Semester Requirements Number of Activities Level of Contribution
Homework Assignments 4 % 10
Project 1 % 20
Midterms 1 % 30
Final 1 % 40
Total % 100
PERCENTAGE OF SEMESTER WORK % 40
PERCENTAGE OF FINAL WORK % 60
Total % 100

ECTS / Workload Table

Activities Number of Activities Duration (Hours) Workload
Course Hours 14 3 42
Study Hours Out of Class 14 2 28
Presentations / Seminar 1 10 10
Project 1 40 40
Homework Assignments 4 10 40
Midterms 1 15 15
Final 1 20 20
Total Workload 195

Contribution of Learning Outcomes to Programme Outcomes

No Effect 1 Lowest 2 Low 3 Average 4 High 5 Highest
           
Program Outcomes Level of Contribution
1) As a world citizen, she is aware of global economic, political, social and ecological developments and trends. 
2) He/she is equipped to closely follow the technological progress required by global and local dynamics and to continue learning.
3) Absorbs basic economic principles and analysis methods and uses them to evaluate daily events. 
4) Uses quantitative and statistical tools to identify economic problems, analyze them, and share their findings with relevant stakeholders. 
5) Understands the decision-making stages of economic units under existing constraints and incentives, examines the interactions and possible future effects of these decisions.
6) Comprehends new ways of doing business using digital technologies. and new market structures. 
7) Takes critical approach to economic and social problems and develops analytical solutions.
8) Has the necessary mathematical equipment to produce analytical solutions and use quantitative research methods.
9) In the works he/she contributes, observes individual and social welfare together and with an ethical perspective.  
10) Deals with economic problems with an interdisciplinary approach and seeks solutions by making use of different disciplines. 
11) Generates original and innovative ideas in the works she/he contributes as part of a team.