| BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION | |||||
| Bachelor | TR-NQF-HE: Level 6 | QF-EHEA: First Cycle | EQF-LLL: Level 6 | ||
| Course Code | Course Name | Semester | Theoretical | Practical | Credit | ECTS |
| IF4838 | Timing and Forecasting in Financial Markets | Spring | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| The course opens with the approval of the Department at the beginning of each semester |
| Language of instruction: | En |
| Type of course: | Non-Departmental Elective |
| Course Level: | Bachelor |
| Mode of Delivery: | Face to face |
| Course Coordinator : | Dr. Öğr. Üyesi BAHAR KÖSEOĞLU |
| Course Lecturer(s): |
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi HAKKI ÖZTÜRK |
| Course Objectives: | Timing and forecasting in financial markets course was designed to familiarize the students with the basics of technical analysis and teach how to correctly use technical tools. Technical analysis is the forecasting of future financial price movements based on an examination of past price movements. Like weather forecasting, it does not result in absolute predictions about the future. Instead, the tools used for forecasting can help investors anticipate what is "likely" to happen to prices over time. The course will help the students to forecast for short-term stock market trends and also will show the techniques for long term predictions. A program called Metastock will be used in class. The updated data for all the markets (stock, fx, commodity, money markets) will be provided by matriks. This course provides an insight to the trading rules and the indicators of technical analysis. At the end of the course, the students are expected to figure out how to forecast the market and price movements in financial markets using major patterns, indicators and oscillators. |
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The students who have succeeded in this course; I.to be able to learn how to use Metastock program II. to be able to learn how to read price charts III. to be able to know major indicators and oscillators and use them in trading IV.to be able to learn trading rules and timing in security markets V.to be able to figure out how to forecast the market and price movements in financial markets VI.to be able to construct a buy-sell systems in Metastock program |
| Metastock program, price charts, major indicators and oscillators , timing in security markets, construct a buy-sell systems |
| Week | Subject | Related Preparation | |
| 1) | Introduction to Technical Market Analysis Introduction to Metastock Program | ||
| 2) | How to Use Metastock Program | ||
| 3) | Chart Reading, Interpretation of Price Charts | ||
| 4) | Major Patterns in Financial Markets | ||
| 5) | Moving Averages | ||
| 6) | Random Walk Index, MACD | ||
| 7) | Momentum, P(ROC) | ||
| 8) | Cycles, Timing Systems, Elliot Wave, Bollinger Bands | ||
| 9) | Polarized Fractal Efficiency, Parabolic SAR | ||
| 10) | Money Flow Index-Commodity Channel Index | ||
| 11) | Stochastic, RSI, Trix, Directional Moving Indicator | ||
| 12) | Timing and Forecasting Methods Using Some Indicators and Oscillators | ||
| 13) | Timing and Forecasting Methods Using Some Indicators and Oscillators | ||
| 14) | Constructing a Buy-Sell System in Metastock | ||
| Course Notes: | Technical Analysis Explained by Martin J. Pring. |
| References: | Essentials of Technical Analysis for Financial Markets, James Chen, John Wiley & Sons |
| Semester Requirements | Number of Activities | Level of Contribution |
| Attendance | % 0 | |
| Laboratory | % 0 | |
| Application | % 0 | |
| Field Work | % 0 | |
| Special Course Internship (Work Placement) | % 0 | |
| Quizzes | % 0 | |
| Homework Assignments | 1 | % 10 |
| Presentation | % 0 | |
| Project | % 0 | |
| Seminar | % 0 | |
| Midterms | 1 | % 40 |
| Preliminary Jury | % 0 | |
| Final | 1 | % 50 |
| Paper Submission | % 0 | |
| Jury | % 0 | |
| Bütünleme | % 0 | |
| Total | % 100 | |
| PERCENTAGE OF SEMESTER WORK | % 50 | |
| PERCENTAGE OF FINAL WORK | % 50 | |
| Total | % 100 | |
| Activities | Number of Activities | Duration (Hours) | Workload |
| Course Hours | 14 | 3 | 42 |
| Laboratory | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Application | 14 | 2 | 28 |
| Special Course Internship (Work Placement) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Field Work | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Study Hours Out of Class | 14 | 3 | 42 |
| Presentations / Seminar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Project | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Homework Assignments | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Quizzes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Preliminary Jury | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Midterms | 1 | 35 | 35 |
| Paper Submission | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jury | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Final | 1 | 45 | 45 |
| Total Workload | 217 | ||
| No Effect | 1 Lowest | 2 Low | 3 Average | 4 High | 5 Highest |
| Program Outcomes | Level of Contribution | |
| 1) | Being able to identify problems and ask right questions | |
| 2) | Having problem solving skills and developing necessary analytical attitude | |
| 3) | Comprehending theoretical arguments along with counter arguments in detail | |
| 4) | Gaining awareness of lifelong learning and being qualified for pursuing graduate education | |
| 5) | Applying theoretical concepts in project planning | |
| 6) | Communicating efficiently by accepting differences and carrying out compatible teamwork | |
| 7) | Increasing efficiency rate in business environment | |
| 8) | Developing innovative and creative solutions in face of uncertainty | |
| 9) | Researching to gather information for understanding current threats and opportunities in business | |
| 10) | Being aware of the effects of globalization on society and business while deciding | |
| 11) | Possessing digital competence and utilizing necessary technology | |
| 12) | Communicating in at least one foreign language in academic and daily life | |
| 13) | Possessing managing skills and competence | |
| 14) | Deciding with the awareness of the legal and ethical consequences of business operations | |
| 15) | Expressing opinions that are built through critical thinking process in business and academic environment |