ECONOMICS | |||||
Bachelor | TR-NQF-HE: Level 6 | QF-EHEA: First Cycle | EQF-LLL: Level 6 |
Course Code | Course Name | Semester | Theoretical | Practical | Credit | ECTS |
ISM5206 | Decision Analysis | Fall | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
This catalog is for information purposes. Course status is determined by the relevant department at the beginning of semester. |
Language of instruction: | Turkish |
Type of course: | Non-Departmental Elective |
Course Level: | Bachelor’s Degree (First Cycle) |
Mode of Delivery: | Face to face |
Course Coordinator : | Instructor ÖZLEM KANGA |
Course Lecturer(s): |
Assoc. Prof. SEROL BULKAN |
Recommended Optional Program Components: | N.A. |
Course Objectives: | The aim of the course is to introduce the graphical models used in decision analysis and to provide a set of systematic tools to help the decision maker in giving a decision. |
The students who have succeeded in this course; - Recognize the graphical models used in decision analysis. - Model a given uncertain situation with Bayes networks. - Compute exact and approximate inferences in Bayes networks. - Model a given uncertain decision problem with influence diagrams. - Make inferences in decision networks. - Compute value of information. |
Expected Utility, Causal and Bayesian networks, Exact inference in Bayesian networks, Approximate inference in Bayesian networks, Learning Bayesian networks, Influence and decision networks, Value of information |
Week | Subject | Related Preparation |
1) | Probability review | |
2) | Expected Utility | |
3) | Causal and Bayesian networks | |
4) | Building Bayesian models | |
5) | Exact inference in Bayesian networks | |
6) | Exact inference in Bayesian networks | |
7) | Approximate inference in Bayesian networks | |
8) | Approximate inference in Bayesian networks | |
9) | Midterm exam | |
10) | Learning Bayesian networks | |
11) | Influence and decision networks | |
12) | Influence and decision networks | |
13) | Value of information | |
14) | Project presentations |
Course Notes / Textbooks: | F.V. Jensen, 2001. Bayesian networks and decision graphs, New York : Springer |
References: | Robert T. Clemen, 1996. Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, 2nd edition, Duxbury Press |
Semester Requirements | Number of Activities | Level of Contribution |
Homework Assignments | 4 | % 10 |
Project | 1 | % 20 |
Midterms | 1 | % 30 |
Final | 1 | % 40 |
Total | % 100 | |
PERCENTAGE OF SEMESTER WORK | % 40 | |
PERCENTAGE OF FINAL WORK | % 60 | |
Total | % 100 |
Activities | Number of Activities | Duration (Hours) | Workload |
Course Hours | 14 | 3 | 42 |
Study Hours Out of Class | 14 | 2 | 28 |
Presentations / Seminar | 1 | 10 | 10 |
Project | 1 | 40 | 40 |
Homework Assignments | 4 | 10 | 40 |
Midterms | 1 | 15 | 15 |
Final | 1 | 20 | 20 |
Total Workload | 195 |
No Effect | 1 Lowest | 2 Low | 3 Average | 4 High | 5 Highest |
Program Outcomes | Level of Contribution | |
1) | As a world citizen, she is aware of global economic, political, social and ecological developments and trends. | 2 |
2) | He/she is equipped to closely follow the technological progress required by global and local dynamics and to continue learning. | 2 |
3) | Absorbs basic economic principles and analysis methods and uses them to evaluate daily events. | 2 |
4) | Uses quantitative and statistical tools to identify economic problems, analyze them, and share their findings with relevant stakeholders. | 2 |
5) | Understands the decision-making stages of economic units under existing constraints and incentives, examines the interactions and possible future effects of these decisions. | 1 |
6) | Comprehends new ways of doing business using digital technologies. and new market structures. | 2 |
7) | Takes critical approach to economic and social problems and develops analytical solutions. | 1 |
8) | Has the necessary mathematical equipment to produce analytical solutions and use quantitative research methods. | 2 |
9) | In the works he/she contributes, observes individual and social welfare together and with an ethical perspective. | 2 |
10) | Deals with economic problems with an interdisciplinary approach and seeks solutions by making use of different disciplines. | 1 |
11) | Generates original and innovative ideas in the works she/he contributes as part of a team. | 2 |